Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-0 Utrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 9 Feb 2025

Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Utrecht (K)
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Utrecht (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
9.57
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
67%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
46%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
7%
+6.7pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.6pp
67%
Away Win
79%
-11.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) v Utrecht (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.67/4.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
+131% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / –
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
9.0 Crosses 28.0
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Utrecht (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Utrecht (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.93 xG 3.01
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
212 Passes 446
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
24.03.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-4 HT 1-2 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-0 Utrecht (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-0
AWAY Utrecht (K)
23% Ball Possession 77%
6 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 9
108 Passes 578
52% Pass Accuracy 86%
3 Crosses 41
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Utrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) edged past Utrecht (K) 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Utrecht (K) at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 23% of the ball to Utrecht (K)'s 77%, shots finished 6-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Utrecht (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) and 3.00 for Utrecht (K).

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Utrecht (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-0 Utrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Utrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 14%, draw 19%, Utrecht (K) 67%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Utrecht (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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