Naft Al-Basra 3-1 Al Hudod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
45%
-12.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+10.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.4pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Al-Basra EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hudod EU Bookmakers 30%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Naft Al-Basra vs Al Hudod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Al-Basra beat Al Hudod 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Naft Al-Basra found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Naft Al-Basra vs Al Hudod?

Naft Al-Basra 3-1 Al Hudod in the Iraq - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Al-Basra vs Al Hudod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hudod win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Naft Al-Basra 33%, draw 30%, Al Hudod 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Hudod) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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