Fafe vs Dezembro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fafe v Dezembro — Team-Based Signals
Fafe 3-1 Dezembro — Actual Match Statistics
Fafe saw off Dezembro 3-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both. At 1.74 (~57%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
On the day, Fafe had 60% of the ball to Dezembro's 40%, shots finished 22-5.
Fafe vs Dezembro Result & Final Score
Fafe 3 - 1 Dezembro in the Portugal - Liga 3 on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fafe vs Dezembro Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fafe 54%, draw 26%, Dezembro 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.