Fafe 3-1 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.91/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.76
-41% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +82%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
3-1
AWAY Dezembro
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe saw off Dezembro 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fafe had 60% of the ball to Dezembro's 40%, shots finished 22-5.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Dezembro?

Fafe 3-1 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fafe 45%, draw 28%, Dezembro 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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