Nasaf Qarshi 1-1 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 9 Feb 2026

Nasaf Qarshi
1-1 HT 1-0
Al Shorta
📅09/02/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
AFC Sampiyonlar League – 2025/2026

Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Shorta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.86
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
9%
5.74
X/2
7%
5.71
X/X
18%
4.59
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
18%
3.83
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nasaf Qarshi v Al Shorta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasaf Qarshi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.5 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Nasaf Qarshi 1-1 Al Shorta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasaf Qarshi
1-1
AWAY Al Shorta
1.34 xG 1.48
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
290 Passes 645
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
22 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasaf Qarshi and Al Shorta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nasaf Qarshi had 34% of the ball to Al Shorta's 66%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.34 to 1.48.

What was the final score of Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Shorta?

Nasaf Qarshi 1-1 Al Shorta in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 09/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasaf Qarshi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nasaf Qarshi 37%, draw 32%, Al Shorta 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nasaf Qarshi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nasaf Qarshi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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