09/02/2026
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Turan Tovuz vs Karvan Evlakh Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
2%
X/X
8%
2/1
16%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
70%
14%
Draw
18%
6%
Away Win
12%
35%
Under 2.5
44%
65%
Over 2.5
56%
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
52%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Turan Tovuz v Karvan Evlakh — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Turan Tovuz
EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
Karvan Evlakh
EU Bookmakers 15%
+19% /
+19%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
2.02/0.54
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.58/2.30
-3%
/
+28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-23%
/
-15%
62%
Ball Possession
38%
17
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Target
2
7
Corners
2
419 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
254 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Turan Tovuz vs Karvan Evlakh Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Turan Tovuz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Karvan Evlakh
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Turan Tovuz vs Karvan Evlakh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Turan Tovuz nicked a narrow win over Karvan Evlakh 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Karvan Evlakh?
Turan Tovuz 1-0 Karvan Evlakh in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 09/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Karvan Evlakh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 79%, draw 14%, Karvan Evlakh 6%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
AZERS
More Azerbaijan - Super League
9 Feb 2026