Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 3-3 Somaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 9 Feb 2026

📅09/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.11
Draw
10%
8.11
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
30%
X/2
2%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
85%
-2.6pp
10%
Draw
9%
+1.1pp
8%
Away Win
6%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Somaspor EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.19/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.35
+24% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
503 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Somaspor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2025 Somaspor Somaspor 0-3 HT 0-1 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
3-3
AWAY Somaspor
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Somaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. and Somaspor shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. at 82% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. had 49% of the ball to Somaspor's 51%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Somaspor?

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 3-3 Somaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 09/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Somaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 82%, draw 10%, Somaspor 8%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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