Arsenal Ceska Lipa 1-1 Kolin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - 3rd Division MSFL, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.5pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.0pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Ceska Lipa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolin EU Bookmakers 16%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
6.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+150% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Ceska Lipa
1-1
AWAY Kolin
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Arsenal Ceska Lipa vs Kolin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Ceska Lipa and Kolin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Arsenal Ceska Lipa at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal Ceska Lipa had 52% of the ball to Kolin's 48%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Arsenal Ceska Lipa vs Kolin?

Arsenal Ceska Lipa 1-1 Kolin in the Czech Republic - 3rd Division MSFL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Ceska Lipa vs Kolin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Ceska Lipa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Ceska Lipa 57%, draw 19%, Kolin 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Ceska Lipa) ✗ Over 2.5
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