09/03/2024
·
12:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
ZCE Plzen vs Komarov Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
44%
4-5
15%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
55%
28%
Draw
28%
27%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ZCE Plzen v Komarov — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ZCE Plzen
The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
Komarov
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+17% /
+17%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
372 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
223 · 65%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
ZCE Plzen vs Komarov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
ZCE Plzen nicked a narrow win over Komarov 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had ZCE Plzen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of ZCE Plzen vs Komarov?
ZCE Plzen 1-0 Komarov in the Czech Republic - 4.League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ZCE Plzen vs Komarov?
Before kick-off our model rated a ZCE Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ZCE Plzen 45%, draw 28%, Komarov 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ZCE Plzen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (ZCE Plzen)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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