Hradec Kralove 2-0 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.94/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.38
+24% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
22.04.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
29.10.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-3 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
19.02.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
17.09.2021 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
22.06.2020 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
2-0
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.93 xG 0.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 Passes 345
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove beat FK Pardubice 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hradec Kralove as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 51% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 49%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.93 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Pardubice led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hradec Kralove and 0.83 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice?

Hradec Kralove 2-0 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hradec Kralove win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 43%, draw 25%, FK Pardubice 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hradec Kralove), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hradec Kralove) ✓ Under 2.5
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