Spennymoor Town 2-1 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 33% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.37/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.11
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Darlington 1883
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-2 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
28.01.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-2 HT 2-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
20.12.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-3 HT 0-3 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İNFAT
27.08.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
26.12.2021 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
26.12.2020 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-0 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
2-1
AWAY Darlington 1883
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town edged past Darlington 1883 2-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Spennymoor Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 46% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 54%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spennymoor Town and 1.50 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883?

Spennymoor Town 2-1 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 38%, draw 27%, Darlington 1883 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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