Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-4 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's FA Cup, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
63%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
43%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
15%
-0.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
63%
Away Win
66%
-2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -78% / -78%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.19 xG 2.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
292 Passes 411
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
04.02.2024 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
05.11.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
24.11.2019 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United (K) cruised past Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester United (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Manchester United (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) and 2.67 for Manchester United (K).

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-4 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's FA Cup on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 14%, draw 22%, Manchester United (K) 63%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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