Mjallby 1-3 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 9 Mar 2024

Mjallby
1-3 HT 1-2
AIK
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 45%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.02
+80% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
1W-3D-2L
AWAY AIK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.56 xG 1.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
337 Passes 423
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.05.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
30.10.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-2 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
02.07.2022 AIK AIK 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
13.09.2021 Mjallby Mjallby 0-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
22.05.2021 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
1-3
AWAY AIK
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK beat Mjallby 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 38% — and on the day AIK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mjallby had 66% of the ball to AIK's 34%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mjallby and 0.83 for AIK.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs AIK?

Mjallby 1-3 AIK in the Sweden - Cup on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated an AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 37%, draw 26%, AIK 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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