Paradiso 1-0 Lugano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.4pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.2pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradiso EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano II EU Bookmakers 19%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.98
-54% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / -30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradiso
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lugano II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 2-1 HT 0-1 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Paradiso vs Lugano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paradiso edged past Lugano II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paradiso as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Paradiso vs Lugano II?

Paradiso 1-0 Lugano II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradiso vs Lugano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradiso win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Paradiso 57%, draw 21%, Lugano II 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paradiso) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paradiso) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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