Aarau (K) 3-2 Rapperswil Jona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Women's National Leaguei A, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
45%
4-5
16%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau (K) The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapperswil Jona (K) The Market 36%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/3.66
-100% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Aarau (K) vs Rapperswil Jona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau (K) edged past Rapperswil Jona (K) 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aarau (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Aarau (K) vs Rapperswil Jona (K)?

Aarau (K) 3-2 Rapperswil Jona (K) in the Switzerland - Women's National Leaguei A on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau (K) vs Rapperswil Jona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aarau (K) 41%, draw 30%, Rapperswil Jona (K) 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarau (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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