Leiknir Reykjavik 0-3 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.48
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
20%
+11.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
45%
Away Win
59%
-13.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.5pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 62%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.63/3.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.67
+26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +68%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
1W-0D-5L
AWAY KA Akureyri
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2022 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 0-5 HT 0-2 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
20.04.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-0 HT 0-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL
25.07.2021 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
12.05.2021 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL
24.06.2020 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 6-0 HT 2-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZK
07.03.2015 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-2 HT 1-2 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZLK
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri cruised past Leiknir Reykjavik 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KA Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 3.00 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Leiknir Reykjavik 0-3 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - League Cup on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated an KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 31%, draw 25%, KA Akureyri 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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