Hoffenheim (K) 2-0 Nürnberg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.94
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
17%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
82%
-10.3pp
15%
Draw
10%
+4.6pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+5.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -40%
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
448 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
Crosses 4.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
2-0
AWAY Nürnberg (K)
2.27 xG 0.73
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
419 Passes 192
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
39 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs Nürnberg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) got the better of Nürnberg (K) 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hoffenheim (K) as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 65% of the ball to Nürnberg (K)'s 35%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.27 to 0.73.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 2-0 Nürnberg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 72%, draw 15%, Nürnberg (K) 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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