Logan Lightning 1-2 Caboolture Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
43%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
40%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
43%
Away Win
30%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Logan Lightning The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Caboolture Sports The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Logan Lightning vs Caboolture Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caboolture Sports nicked a narrow win over Logan Lightning 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Caboolture Sports as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Logan Lightning vs Caboolture Sports?

Logan Lightning 1-2 Caboolture Sports in the Australia - Queensland Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Logan Lightning vs Caboolture Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caboolture Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Logan Lightning 31%, draw 26%, Caboolture Sports 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caboolture Sports) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caboolture Sports) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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