09/03/2024
·
11:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
North Star vs Taringa Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
42%
Home Win
38%
32%
Draw
29%
26%
Away Win
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
North Star v Taringa Rovers — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
North Star
The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Taringa Rovers
The Market 36%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
298 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
345 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
North Star vs Taringa Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
North Star nicked a narrow win over Taringa Rovers 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had North Star as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of North Star vs Taringa Rovers?
North Star 1-0 Taringa Rovers in the Australia - Queensland Premier League 2 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for North Star vs Taringa Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a North Star win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split North Star 42%, draw 32%, Taringa Rovers 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Star), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (North Star)
✓ Under 2.5
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