Marconi Stallions U20 1-0 APIA Leichhardt U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - U20 NSW NPL 1, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marconi Stallions U20 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt U20 EU Bookmakers 21%
-76% / -76% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Marconi Stallions U20 vs APIA Leichhardt U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marconi Stallions U20 edged past APIA Leichhardt U20 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Marconi Stallions U20 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Marconi Stallions U20 vs APIA Leichhardt U20?

Marconi Stallions U20 1-0 APIA Leichhardt U20 in the Australia - U20 NSW NPL 1 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marconi Stallions U20 vs APIA Leichhardt U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marconi Stallions U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Marconi Stallions U20 46%, draw 26%, APIA Leichhardt U20 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marconi Stallions U20), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marconi Stallions U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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