Brisbane Roar (K) 0-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
18%
3.35
Away
48%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.8pp
18%
Draw
27%
-8.9pp
48%
Away Win
36%
+11.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.70/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.27
+7% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
17.5 Crosses 8.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
12.11.2023 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
0-2
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.17 xG 0.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
312 Passes 385
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
41 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) got the better of Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Central Coast Mariners (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 47% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 53%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.17 to 0.74 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 0-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 34%, draw 18%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
9 Mar 2024
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