Kortrijk 0-1 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 Mar 2024

Kortrijk
0-1 HT 0-1
Royal Antwerp
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Kortrijk vs Royal Antwerp Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
46%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.43 — our 26% vs market 17.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.82
1/2
8%
21.05
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
9%
10.75
X/2
14%
3.98
X/X
10%
5.99
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.98
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-11.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kortrijk v Royal Antwerp — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 62%
+14% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.43/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.98
-3% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +60%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
15.6 Crosses 15.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.2

Kortrijk vs Royal Antwerp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.22 xG 1.92
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
340 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.08.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 6-0 HT 4-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
16.04.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-0 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
02.10.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-1 HT 2-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
02.02.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-2 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
01.08.2021 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
06.03.2021 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 4-2 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL

Kortrijk 0-1 Royal Antwerp — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
0-1
AWAY Royal Antwerp
0.12 xG 0.74
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
164 Passes 523
61% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp nicked a narrow win over Kortrijk 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Royal Antwerp as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kortrijk had 30% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 70%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.12 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kortrijk and 2.33 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Royal Antwerp?

Kortrijk 0-1 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 29%, draw 25%, Royal Antwerp 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Royal Antwerp), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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