09/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Radnik Bijeljina vs Modrica Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
47%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
25%
26%
Draw
27%
36%
Away Win
48%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Radnik Bijeljina v Modrica — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Radnik Bijeljina
The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Modrica
The Market 52%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
229 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
371 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Radnik Bijeljina vs Modrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Radnik Bijeljina saw off Modrica 2-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Radnik Bijeljina found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Radnik Bijeljina vs Modrica?
Radnik Bijeljina 2-0 Modrica in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Radnik Bijeljina vs Modrica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Bijeljina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Radnik Bijeljina 38%, draw 26%, Modrica 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Bijeljina) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Radnik Bijeljina)
✗ BTTS Yes
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