Kayanza United 1-0 Le Messager Ngozi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Burundi - League A, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayanza United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Messager Ngozi EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.22/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.77
-73% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kayanza United vs Le Messager Ngozi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayanza United edged past Le Messager Ngozi 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kayanza United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Kayanza United vs Le Messager Ngozi?

Kayanza United 1-0 Le Messager Ngozi in the Burundi - League A on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayanza United vs Le Messager Ngozi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kayanza United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kayanza United 44%, draw 30%, Le Messager Ngozi 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kayanza United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kayanza United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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