Bromley 2-0 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromley EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.44/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.15
+2% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bromley
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Barnet
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Bromley Bromley 0-2 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
07.04.2023 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 1-0 Bromley Bromley İBSL
25.10.2022 Bromley Bromley 1-3 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
15.05.2022 Barnet Barnet 2-4 HT 1-1 Bromley Bromley İBSL
18.09.2021 Bromley Bromley 2-0 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
13.03.2021 Bromley Bromley 2-2 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bromley
2-0
AWAY Barnet
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bromley vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromley saw off Barnet 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Bromley found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bromley had 42% of the ball to Barnet's 58%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bromley and 1.67 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Bromley vs Barnet?

Bromley 2-0 Barnet in the England - FA Cup on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromley vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bromley win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bromley 37%, draw 26%, Barnet 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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