Ilves Tampere 0-1 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 31%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.24/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.76
+68% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +96%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.05 xG 2.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
334 Passes 286
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 41
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
15.04.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-1 HT 2-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
11.09.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
28.05.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
27.10.2021 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-2 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
21.08.2021 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
0-1
AWAY Inter Turku
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku edged past Ilves Tampere 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 42% of the ball to Inter Turku's 58%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.67 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Inter Turku?

Ilves Tampere 0-1 Inter Turku in the Finland - League Cup on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 47%, draw 23%, Inter Turku 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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