Sochaux 2-2 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 9 Mar 2024

Sochaux
2-2 HT 2-0
Le Mans FC
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Sochaux vs Le Mans FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.88
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.05
6+ Goals
10%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.85
X/2
14%
6.11
X/X
8%
4.26
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.54
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sochaux v Le Mans FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.67/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.26
+28% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sochaux vs Le Mans FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.76 xG 0.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
201 Passes 352
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.09.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
07.02.2020 Sochaux Sochaux 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
30.08.2019 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
13.02.2010 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR1
03.02.2010 Sochaux Sochaux 3-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FRK
03.10.2009 Sochaux Sochaux 1-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR1
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux and Le Mans FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sochaux had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sochaux and 0.67 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Le Mans FC?

Sochaux 2-2 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 41%, draw 23%, Le Mans FC 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sochaux) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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