Hauts Lyonnais 2-1 Espaly-Saint-Marcel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.64
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
Over Pick
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
34%
4-5
39%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
20%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.6pp
34%
Draw
24%
+9.7pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hauts Lyonnais The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Espaly-Saint-Marcel The Market 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hauts Lyonnais vs Espaly-Saint-Marcel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hauts Lyonnais nicked a narrow win over Espaly-Saint-Marcel 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Hauts Lyonnais found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Hauts Lyonnais vs Espaly-Saint-Marcel?

Hauts Lyonnais 2-1 Espaly-Saint-Marcel in the France - National League 3 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hauts Lyonnais vs Espaly-Saint-Marcel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hauts Lyonnais win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hauts Lyonnais 36%, draw 34%, Espaly-Saint-Marcel 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hauts Lyonnais), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hauts Lyonnais) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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