09/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
JDR Stars vs Milford Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
28%
Draw
30%
25%
Away Win
23%
56%
Under 2.5
64%
44%
Over 2.5
36%
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
51%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
JDR Stars v Milford — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
JDR Stars
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Milford
EU Bookmakers 26%
-11% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-40% /
-40%
1.18/1.05
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.58/1.98
-8%
/
-35%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-31%
/
-37%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
3
390 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.5
Yellow Cards
1.0
JDR Stars vs Milford Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
JDR Stars
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Milford
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
0
3
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
05.11.2023
Milford
3-3
HT 0-1
JDR Stars
GAF1
3-3
HT 0-1
JDR Stars
GAF1
POST-MATCH
JDR Stars vs Milford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
JDR Stars edged past Milford 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JDR Stars as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of JDR Stars vs Milford?
JDR Stars 1-0 Milford in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for JDR Stars vs Milford?
Before kick-off our model rated a JDR Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split JDR Stars 47%, draw 28%, Milford 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JDR Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (JDR Stars)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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GAF1
More South Afrika - 1st Division
9 Mar 2024