Gimcheon Sangmu 2-3 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.53
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.52
1/2
4%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
15%
5.9
X/2
17%
4.87
X/X
12%
3.98
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.46
2/X
4%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.03/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.06
+23% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
12.9 Crosses 12.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.87 xG 1.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
402 Passes 424
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
21.05.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-2 HT 0-2 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
20.02.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
02.10.2020 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 4-1 HT 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
25.07.2020 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-5 HT 1-3 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
09.05.2020 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 4-0 HT 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2-3
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 0
522 Passes 348
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai edged past Gimcheon Sangmu 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ulsan Hyundai found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 66% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 34%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 2.83 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Gimcheon Sangmu 2-3 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 38%, draw 24%, Ulsan Hyundai 38%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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