09/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Mohammedan vs Namdhari Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
23%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
41%
Home Win
49%
32%
Draw
30%
26%
Away Win
22%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mohammedan v Namdhari — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mohammedan
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Namdhari
The Market 25%
+8% /
+8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+68% /
+68%
1.74/1.13
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.00/2.00
+28%
/
+9%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
-29%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
313 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
217 · 67%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Mohammedan vs Namdhari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mohammedan beat Namdhari 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mohammedan as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Mohammedan vs Namdhari?
Mohammedan 3-1 Namdhari in the India I-League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mohammedan vs Namdhari?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mohammedan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mohammedan 41%, draw 32%, Namdhari 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mohammedan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Mohammedan)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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