Chennaiyin FC 0-1 Hyderabad FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 9 Mar 2024

Chennaiyin FC
0-1 HT 0-0
Hyderabad FC
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Chennaiyin FC vs Hyderabad FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
2.18
Over
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
29%
4.23
2-3
40%
1.87
4-5
23%
3.01
6+
8%
9.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.23 — our 29% vs market 18.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Chennaiyin FC win — 63% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-9.6pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.9pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.3pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chennaiyin FC v Hyderabad FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Hyderabad FC EU Bookmakers 14%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.96/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.47
+60% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 68%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
23.5 Crosses 16.5
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Chennaiyin FC vs Hyderabad FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chennaiyin FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hyderabad FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 0.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
222 Passes 303
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.10.2023 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
12.01.2023 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
03.12.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-3 HT 0-0 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC HİNSL
13.01.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC HİNSL
23.11.2021 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
31.01.2021 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL

Chennaiyin FC 0-1 Hyderabad FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chennaiyin FC
0-1
AWAY Hyderabad FC
1.35 xG 0.91
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
313 Passes 107
73% Pass Accuracy 53%
42 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chennaiyin FC vs Hyderabad FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hyderabad FC edged past Chennaiyin FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chennaiyin FC at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Chennaiyin FC had 68% of the ball to Hyderabad FC's 32%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.35 to 0.91 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chennaiyin FC.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chennaiyin FC and 1.17 for Hyderabad FC.

What was the final score of Chennaiyin FC vs Hyderabad FC?

Chennaiyin FC 0-1 Hyderabad FC in the India - Super League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chennaiyin FC vs Hyderabad FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chennaiyin FC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Chennaiyin FC 62%, draw 20%, Hyderabad FC 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chennaiyin FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chennaiyin FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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