KTP Kotka 2-3 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
18%
+13.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -68% / -68%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Haka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.88 xG 1.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
450 Passes 252
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
21.08.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-2 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
05.05.2023 Haka Haka 4-2 HT 1-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
25.05.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-4 HT 2-1 Haka Haka FİK
27.10.2021 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-4 HT 0-3 Haka Haka FİN
19.07.2021 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka nicked a narrow win over KTP Kotka 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Haka as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for KTP Kotka and 2.67 for Haka.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs Haka?

KTP Kotka 2-3 Haka in the Friendlies on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 32%, draw 23%, Haka 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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