KuPS Kuopio 4-1 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.28
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
74%
-18.7pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.0pp
22%
Away Win
9%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 12%
-90% / -90% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
470 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Jaro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
04.10.2015 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
23.09.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
05.07.2015 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-3 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FİN
19.09.2014 Jaro Jaro 3-2 HT 3-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
02.07.2014 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HT 1-1 Jaro Jaro FİN
19.04.2014 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-4 HT 0-2 Jaro Jaro FİN
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio ran out comfortable winners over Jaro 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 2.00 for Jaro.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Jaro?

KuPS Kuopio 4-1 Jaro in the Friendlies on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 55%, draw 23%, Jaro 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
9 Mar 2024
14:00 Rosenborg vs Tromsö Analysis →
14:00 Stromsgodset vs Odds BK Analysis →
14:00 KTP Kotka vs VJS Analysis →
14:00 Sotra SK vs Bjarg Analysis →
15:00 Eidsvold Turn vs Nordstrand Analysis →
15:00 Sotra SK vs Brann Analysis →