09/03/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Trnje vs Bjelovar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
31%
4-5
29%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
53%
Home Win
53%
20%
Draw
27%
27%
Away Win
20%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Trnje v Bjelovar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Trnje
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bjelovar
The Market 22%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+15% /
+15%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
-74%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
2
5
Corners
4
316 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
327 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Trnje vs Bjelovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Trnje and Bjelovar played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Trnje at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Trnje vs Bjelovar?
Trnje 0-0 Bjelovar in the Croatia - 2.NL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Trnje vs Bjelovar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Trnje win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Trnje 53%, draw 20%, Bjelovar 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Trnje) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Trnje)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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