Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 Naft Gachsaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 9 Mar 2024

Ario Eslamshahr
1-0 HT 0-0
Naft Gachsaran
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2023/2024

Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Gachsaran Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
33%
2.61
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.28
Over 2.5
34%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.51
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
15%
8.79
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.7pp
33%
Draw
35%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
75%
-8.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
25%
+8.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.4pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ario Eslamshahr v Naft Gachsaran — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.48/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.27
-48% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
252 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Gachsaran Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ario Eslamshahr
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naft Gachsaran
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Naft Gachsaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Gachsaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ario Eslamshahr edged past Naft Gachsaran 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Ario Eslamshahr made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

What was the final score of Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Gachsaran?

Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 Naft Gachsaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Gachsaran?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naft Gachsaran win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ario Eslamshahr 32%, draw 33%, Naft Gachsaran 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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