INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
3%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-12.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
1-0
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) edged past Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) had 54% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)'s 46%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 41%, draw 30%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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