09/03/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Silibwet vs Gusii Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
42%
4-5
24%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
39%
Home Win
41%
30%
Draw
29%
30%
Away Win
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Silibwet v Gusii — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Silibwet
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gusii
The Market 34%
-55% /
-55%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-48% /
-48%
0.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.66/2.31
-100%
/
-54%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-28%
/
-56%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
340 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
241 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Silibwet vs Gusii
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Silibwet beat Gusii 2-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Silibwet found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Silibwet vs Gusii?
Silibwet 2-0 Gusii in the Kenya - Super League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Silibwet vs Gusii?
Before kick-off our model rated a Silibwet win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Silibwet 39%, draw 30%, Gusii 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Silibwet), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Silibwet)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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