Bandari 1-0 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
27%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
72%
-19.1pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
10%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandari EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -22%
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
506 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandari
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Gor Mahia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
27.02.2022 Bandari Bandari 1-1 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
12.12.2021 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 0-0 Bandari Bandari KEN2
POST-MATCH Bandari vs Gor Mahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandari nicked a narrow win over Gor Mahia 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bandari as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bandari and 0.50 for Gor Mahia.

What was the final score of Bandari vs Gor Mahia?

Bandari 1-0 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandari vs Gor Mahia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandari win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bandari 53%, draw 20%, Gor Mahia 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandari), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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