Municipal Liberia 3-1 Perez Zeledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
32%
4.08
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.5pp
32%
Draw
21%
+11.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.70/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.81
-15% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
406 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Perez Zeledon
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
08.10.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 3-2 HT 3-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
06.08.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
3-1
AWAY Perez Zeledon
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Perez Zeledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia saw off Perez Zeledon 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 64% of the ball to Perez Zeledon's 36%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.50 for Perez Zeledon.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Perez Zeledon?

Municipal Liberia 3-1 Perez Zeledon in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Perez Zeledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 49%, draw 32%, Perez Zeledon 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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