09/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Pompiers vs Kaédi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
55%
Home Win
70%
23%
Draw
17%
22%
Away Win
12%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pompiers v Kaédi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pompiers
The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kaédi
The Market 16%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
8
Corners
4
422 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
252 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pompiers vs Kaédi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pompiers beat Kaédi 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Pompiers as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Pompiers vs Kaédi?
Pompiers 4-2 Kaédi in the Moritanya - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pompiers vs Kaédi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pompiers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Pompiers 55%, draw 23%, Kaédi 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pompiers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Pompiers)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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