Marsaxlokk FC 0-0 Birkirkara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 37%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.77/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.55
-38% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +66%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Birkirkara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 5
04.11.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-2 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
30.04.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTAK
05.03.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
23.10.2022 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
0-0
AWAY Birkirkara
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Birkirkara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC and Birkirkara fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 40% of the ball to Birkirkara's 60%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 0.75 for Birkirkara.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Birkirkara?

Marsaxlokk FC 0-0 Birkirkara in the Malta - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Birkirkara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 38%, draw 27%, Birkirkara 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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