FC Sheriff 1-1 Dacia-Buiucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.16
Draw
14%
7.78
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.98
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
55%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
82%
-5.2pp
14%
Draw
10%
+3.1pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+2.1pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.3pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.5pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Dacia-Buiucani EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
2.29/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.68
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +42%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
475 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Dacia-Buiucani
3.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Dacia-Buiucani 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
20.08.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 5-0 HT 4-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
05.04.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 3-1 HT 1-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLDK
04.03.2023 Dacia-Buiucani 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
1-1
AWAY Dacia-Buiucani
76% Ball Possession 24%
15 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Dacia-Buiucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff and Dacia-Buiucani shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Sheriff at 77% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 76% of the ball to Dacia-Buiucani's 24%, shots finished 15-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.75 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.25 for Dacia-Buiucani.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Dacia-Buiucani?

FC Sheriff 1-1 Dacia-Buiucani in the Moldova - National League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Dacia-Buiucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 77%, draw 14%, Dacia-Buiucani 9%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
9 Mar 2024
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