Al Mokawloon 1-1 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.2
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.63
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.3pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.6pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.03/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.90
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
17.6 Crosses 21.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Ismaily
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.91 xG 0.77
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
223 Passes 316
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 2-2 HT 1-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
13.01.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
17.06.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
23.11.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
19.05.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
18.01.2021 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
1-1
AWAY Ismaily
2.15 xG 0.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
233 Passes 298
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon and Ismaily shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ismaily at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 47% of the ball to Ismaily's 53%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.15 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Mokawloon had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Mokawloon and 0.67 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Ismaily?

Al Mokawloon 1-1 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ismaily win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 27%, draw 30%, Ismaily 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ismaily), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ismaily) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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