Denzlingen 2-1 Mutschelbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
34%
+13.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
41%
-14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denzlingen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mutschelbach EU Bookmakers 45%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+82% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denzlingen
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mutschelbach
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30.08.2023 Mutschelbach 2-2 HT 2-1 Denzlingen OBER
POST-MATCH Denzlingen vs Mutschelbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denzlingen edged past Mutschelbach 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Denzlingen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Denzlingen vs Mutschelbach?

Denzlingen 2-1 Mutschelbach in the Germany - Oberliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denzlingen vs Mutschelbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denzlingen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Denzlingen 48%, draw 25%, Mutschelbach 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denzlingen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Denzlingen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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