09/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
FC Bitburg vs Diefflen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
36%
25%
Draw
30%
35%
Away Win
35%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Bitburg v Diefflen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FC Bitburg
The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Diefflen
The Market 38%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
15
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
293 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
344 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
FC Bitburg vs Diefflen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
FC Bitburg
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Diefflen
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
FC Bitburg vs Diefflen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Diefflen swept aside FC Bitburg 7-2 away from home. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Diefflen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of FC Bitburg vs Diefflen?
FC Bitburg 2-7 Diefflen in the Germany - Oberliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Bitburg vs Diefflen?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bitburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Bitburg 40%, draw 25%, Diefflen 35%. The final score 2-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Bitburg) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (FC Bitburg)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
OBER
More Germany - Oberliga
9 Mar 2024