Sol De America 1-0 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.2pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sol De America EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.26/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.17
-1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sol De America
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 2-3 HT 2-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
30.07.2022 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 3-0 HT 2-0 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
26.04.2022 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-3 HT 0-1 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
05.02.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
27.11.2021 Sol De America Sol De America 3-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
11.09.2021 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 1-1 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sol De America
1-0
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sol De America vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sol De America nicked a narrow win over Nacional Asuncion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Sol De America made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Sol De America had 49% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 51%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sol De America and 1.17 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Sol De America vs Nacional Asuncion?

Sol De America 1-0 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sol De America vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sol De America win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sol De America 39%, draw 29%, Nacional Asuncion 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sol De America), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sol De America) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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