Starogard Gdanski 2-6 Pogon Szczecin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.6pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Starogard Gdanski EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin II EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Starogard Gdanski
2-6
AWAY Pogon Szczecin II
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Starogard Gdanski vs Pogon Szczecin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Szczecin II swept aside Starogard Gdanski 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Starogard Gdanski at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Starogard Gdanski had 38% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin II's 62%, shots finished 10-18.

What was the final score of Starogard Gdanski vs Pogon Szczecin II?

Starogard Gdanski 2-6 Pogon Szczecin II in the Poland - 3rd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Starogard Gdanski vs Pogon Szczecin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Starogard Gdanski win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Starogard Gdanski 47%, draw 23%, Pogon Szczecin II 30%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Starogard Gdanski), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Starogard Gdanski) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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