09/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Sporting Lieşti vs Focşani Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
Over Pick
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
35%
4-5
29%
6+
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
2%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 69% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Lieşti vs Focşani Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Sporting Lieşti
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Focşani
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
5.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Sporting Lieşti vs Focşani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sporting Lieşti edged past Focşani 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Lieşti as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Sporting Lieşti vs Focşani?
Sporting Lieşti 1-0 Focşani in the Romania - 3rd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Lieşti vs Focşani?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Lieşti win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sporting Lieşti 64%, draw 15%, Focşani 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Lieşti) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Sporting Lieşti)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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9 Mar 2024