Rapid Bucarest 4-0 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 26% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 49%
+18% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.80/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.10
+79% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +24%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Bucarest
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FCSB
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.53 xG 1.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
276 Passes 278
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 FCSB FCSB 1-2 HT 0-2 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
27.05.2023 FCSB FCSB 1-5 HT 0-3 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
23.04.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-0 HT 1-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
06.11.2022 FCSB FCSB 3-1 HT 2-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
24.07.2022 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 2-0 HT 2-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
15.12.2021 FCSB FCSB 3-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Bucarest
4-0
AWAY FCSB
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rapid Bucarest vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Bucarest ran out comfortable winners over FCSB 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Rapid Bucarest found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rapid Bucarest had 37% of the ball to FCSB's 63%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Bucarest had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rapid Bucarest and 1.33 for FCSB.

What was the final score of Rapid Bucarest vs FCSB?

Rapid Bucarest 4-0 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Bucarest vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rapid Bucarest 35%, draw 26%, FCSB 40%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ BTTS Yes
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