Faetano 1-2 San Giovanni — Result, Statistics & Match Review — San Marino - Şampiyona, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.53
Draw
13%
4.08
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
37%
4-5
29%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Faetano win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
62%
Home Win
61%
+1.0pp
13%
Draw
21%
-7.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Faetano The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY San Giovanni The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Faetano vs San Giovanni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Giovanni edged past Faetano 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Faetano at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Faetano vs San Giovanni?

Faetano 1-2 San Giovanni in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Faetano vs San Giovanni?

Before kick-off our model rated a Faetano win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Faetano 62%, draw 13%, San Giovanni 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Faetano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Faetano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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